Historical VIX levels
The VIX is negatively correlated with stock market performance. In other words, the index rises in times of turbulence. Here’s a rough estimate of what VIX levels tell us:
- 0-15: Low; indicates general optimism.
- 15-20: Moderate; indicates normal market conditions.
- 20-25: Medium; suggests growing concerns about the market.
- 25-30: High; indicates market turbulence.
- 30+: Extremely high; indicates extreme turbulence.
During winter 2013, a time of strong stock market performance, the VIX was at around 12. But in March 2020, as a global panic about the COVID-19 pandemic peaked, the index reached a record 82.69.
It’s important to emphasize, however, that the VIX measures implied volatility, i.e., the level of volatility the market is anticipating. Although the index can provide helpful information, investor sentiment isn’t always correct. In fact, the VIX tends to overestimate market volatility by about 4% to 5% on average, according to Fidelity.
Related investing topics