Shares of try-before-you-buy mail-order clothier Stitch Fix (SFIX +5.71%) got destroyed today, crashing 36.2% through noon ET after reporting a huge earnings miss.
Heading into earnings, analysts were already pessimistic, forecasting that Stitch Fix would lose $0.19 per share on $318.5 million in quarterly sales. But while the company eked out a small beat on sales, reporting $319.6 million, its earnings were simply atrocious -- a $0.30 per-share loss.
Stitch Fix Q4 earnings (er, losses)
Stitch Fix's Q4 sales declined 12.4% year over year, while losses grew 25% -- and that was the good news.
The bad news is that Stitch Fix's losses from discontinued operations were only $0.01 per share (so better than last year's loss). In contrast, the loss from continuing operations, a more important number, was $0.29 per share, up more than 70% from a year ago. If that trend keeps up much longer, Stitch Fix won't have any money left to lose.
Despite the horrible numbers, Chief Executive Officer (CEO) Matt Baer boasted that Stitch Fix hit "the high end of our guidance on both the top and bottom line," which sounds like good news (but investors don't seem to be buying it).
Is Stitch Fix stock a sell?
Management's guidance for the coming year didn't help. Forecasting numbers for fiscal Q1 2025, Stitch Fix said sales will range from $303 million to $310 million, a 15% to 17% decline year over year, so even worse than Q4's 12% decline. For all of fiscal 2025, management is seeing sales probably down 13% to 17%.
And profits? Stitch Fix didn't raise any hopes that it might turn profitable anytime soon, forecasting only positive "adjusted EBITDA [earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization]" (a very non-GAAP number). It also explained that it can't give guidance on earnings as calculated according to generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) because it "cannot reasonably predict [its] restructuring and other one-time costs, net other income (expense), provision for income taxes, and stock-based compensation expense."
Investors don't seem to find that encouraging, and I can't blame them.
